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Fighting Walnut Flies:
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Fighting Walnut Flies: Sequential Assessment

Second of three scenarios (animated)

In the previous scenario, you learned that it is always better to fight than to withdraw. But after 10 draining fights, you can only gain a maximum net of 50 units.

How much better it would be if you had some idea in advance whether you were likely to win the fight or not! Then you could choose to fight only in cases where you had a good chance of winning.

In this second scenario you sometimes have a bit more info. The costs and benefits are the same: a cost of 45 for fighting, and a gain of 100 if you win the walnut.

Or use the version of this scenario without animation.

NOTE: In the animation YOU are the fly on the LEFT.
Begin by clicking the "begin" button.

When you are done with this scenario, go on to the third and last scenario. Or, go back to scenario 1.

(If you don't have the Flash player, you can get it for free: download it from the Flash site.)

 

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